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23 June 2016 @ 08:00 am
Brexit woes  
I've got this irrational(?) fear that if Brexit passes Trump will win in the fall.

Because if Brexit passes one of two things will happen:

1) The economy will go down. In the worst case scenario the initial seed of financial disruption from Brexit passing will trigger the China debt default chain and cause a total meltdown.

But whether it goes down a lot or little in response to which Trump will blame the Democrats for the economy sucking, which isn't fair but historically the party in office has always caught the flak for a bad economy regardless of the causes.

2) The economy will stay stable or improve.

In which case Trump will say "Hey look, Britain followed the lead of a bunch of fascist, racist, idiots [okay, probably not in those exact words] and it worked out for them, so it will work out for us too!"

Come on UK, you knew how to deal with these types under much more trying circumstances when they were living on the other side of the Channel. Don't give up just because they've become a homegrown threat! You were strong then, you can be strong now!
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Current Mood: worriedworried
 
 
Beth Leonardbeth_leonard on June 23rd, 2016 06:42 pm (UTC)
Arg! I hope neither of those scenarios comes to pass. This vote is certainly too close to call (at least before hand -- ask me tomorrow about the events of today and I can give you 100 reasons why they were inevitable) and the mere fact that it is close can give the UK greater power at the bargaining table in EU relations.

Many of the EU trade policies are harmful, or rather, they help one group at the expense of others. It's good if you're already producing curved bananas, but not so good if you happen to be out of favor.

I think I hope that the UK stays, but I'm torn. If they do decide to leave, I hope they join NAFTA because that would be a win-win for both countries.

--Beth
Auryanne: animals: hufflepuff badgerauryanne on June 26th, 2016 01:25 pm (UTC)
Yeah I feel like that too, like if the UK can go insane it's not impossible for the US anymore @_@ Hope that's not the case. I feel so awful for the people caught up in this.